Tuesday, August 5, 2014

2014-15 Winter Forecast by First Hand Weather -- Sharing Article


This is a more simplified version of the preliminary 2014-15 winter forecast that I released on July 20th. In this post, I want to go region-by-region and tell you what I believe this winter entails for those areas. Before I do, please understand that this winter forecast is subject to change, but at this time, I am fairly confident in my current predictions for this upcoming winter. Only time will tell if my predictions verify, and if any changes need to be made, I will do so in my final winter forecast which will be coming out in October.
Two of the points that I made in my preliminary winter forecast was that the strength of the El Nino matters and the placement of the above-average sea surface temperatures across the equatorial Pacific matters. That’s why you can’t come out with one of those “this is your typical weak El Nino winter maps” and call it a winter forecast. It simply won’t work. Also, there are other factors that will be big drivers of this upcoming winter because we will likely only be in a weak to weakly moderate El Nino. The warmer waters in the northern Pacific over the Gulf of Alaska could again be partially responsible for another cold winter in the central and eastern United States, while the West has above-average temperatures.
The warmest waters still remain over the eastern equatorial Pacific, while the central Pacific waters have cooled quite dramatically. I’m not too concerned about this because we’ll likely see those waters across the central Pacific really start to warm back up, while the eastern Pacific will start to see a drop-off in sea surface temperatures in the coming weeks. This is going to have to occur for the El Nino Modoki to kick in, which I have been predicting for some time now. Once those cooler waters start to surface across the eastern Pacific and the waters begin to warm back up across the central Pacific, the atmosphere will likely react in a way that drives further warmer across the central Pacific, due to a larger sea-surface temperature gradient. Many of those who were calling for the unprecedented super El Nino event to develop later this year are now trying to say that nothing could happen at all. They’ll most likely be wrong both times.
If you didn’t see my preliminary 2014-15 winter forecast, be sure to take some time to read it later by clicking here. I go into detail as to why I’m predicting what I’m predicting, but just to warn you, it is quite lengthy! Right now, allow me to break down region-by-region what you can expect for this upcoming 2014-15 winter.
Southeast: The southeastern United States will likely experience well-below average temperatures with many areas across the Southeast getting plenty of snowfall/ice/rain. Last winter, many regions saw above-average snowfall, but that doesn’t always translate to a wetter-than-average winter. This winter across the Southeast will likely be wetter-than-average for most. Because of the cold air that will likely be in place, many regions that typically do not get snow and ice will get it this year. This reminds me of what occurred in 2009-10 when many people living in the Gulf coast states saw snow who hardly ever get it. Unlike last winter, Florida will likely get in on the really cold air this year since a lot of the cold air could be more focused in the eastern U.S. Expect several big storms to move across this region this winter and impact many living in this area.
Mid-Atlantic: The Mid-Atlantic could even see a snowier winter than last winter and likely experience well-below average temperatures. This winter could rival some of the “snowpocalyptic” winters that occurred a few years back, which will likely end up making this a highly discussed topic throughout the winter. This will likely be a wetter-than-average winter for the Mid-Atlantic, and this region will likely feel the effects of low pressure systems bombing off the East Coast. This area will probably be impacted by several storms this season and may even feel the effects of a pre-season storm that may try to develop.
Northeast and Great Lakes: A good portion of the Northeast will likely experience a colder-than-average winter, but it really depends on where you’re located at. Places in the northern Northeast like Maine could actually have around average temperatures and snowfall, while regions more to the south and along the coast may feel the effects of heavier snowfall and brutally cold air. The Great Lakes region will be brutally cold; however lake-effect snowfall could be considerably less this year. This was hard for me to include on my winter map, which is why I wanted to mention it here. Waters on the lakes are still very cold from this past winter with chunks of ice that were still being spotted as late as this past July 4th. This will likely have an effect on the lake-effect snow machine this upcoming winter.
Tennessee Valley & Ohio Valley: Most of this region will likely experience brutally cold temperatures with the Ohio Valley and a good portion of the Tennessee Valley having good shots at getting some heavy snowfall this year. The Ohio Valley, in particular, could have another year of average to above-average snowfall and overall, may even be wetter-than-average. The Tennessee Valley, particularly in the eastern regions, will likely have average to above average snowfall also. Sometimes, parts of this area can miss out on the good snowfall, but if this occurs, I only see this happening in the more western areas of the Tennessee Valley.
Southern Plains: The Southern Plains will also likely experience well-below average temperatures with higher-than-average snowfall/ice, and overall, most of this region will be wet, some areas more than others. This is another region that could have areas getting snowfall/ice that typically don’t get it. Several storms will likely track across this region throughout the winter with several places across Texas having a decent chance at getting some good snowfall this year. This region will be in the path of some of the Arctic blasts that will likely dive pretty far south this winter.
Northern Plains: The Northern Plains will likely be in a region that experiences brutally cold air diving south from the Arctic, but some areas will be impacted more than others, particularly eastern sections. Precipitation/snowfall could be around average, maybe even below average once you move more west. This is one of those regions that I’m a little more uncertain about and will have to watch closely as we get closer to winter.
Southwest: The Southwest may actually have a decent shot at getting some good rainfall/snowfall to help put a small dent in the drought this winter. While this region will likely have above-average temperatures overall, I’m feel pretty optimistic for the southern regions across California. The further north you get though, the drier things will get. If we do get a lot of storm systems moving through this region, that may bring the overall temperature averages down somewhat, but for now, I’m still calling for above-average temperatures.
Northwest: This region will likely be dealing with well-above average temperatures and once again, very dry conditions. This area will probably feel the effects of another winter that brings ridging over the region; therefore, warmer and drier conditions.
As I stated, some of this will change as we get closer to this winter, but for now, I think things look really good with the forecast overall. For those of you that do not follow Firsthand Weather on Facebook, you definitely want to like the page by clicking here. I will be putting MANY updates on there regarding this upcoming winter over the next several months.

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Depreciation on Equipment using Section 179 of the Federal Tax Code

Section 179 Deduction allows a business to deduct the FULL PURCHASE PRICE from your gross income this year!  Please speak to your tax consultant to find out exactly what it means for you!
Section 179 was designed with businesses in mind. That's why almost all types of "business equipment" qualify for the Section 179 deduction.
All businesses need equipment on an ongoing basis. It's very likely that your business has purchased many of these goods during the past year, and will do so again and again. Section 179 is designed to make purchasing that equipment during this calendar year financially attractive.
Section 179 of the Federal Tax Code has been extended through December 31st of this year.  
Take advantage of it before it is too late.  

Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Don’t Let This Happen to You!

Late last fall we had a prospective customer who wanted a Clean Burn furnace in the worst way.  We tried every which way to get him financing but to no avail.  Finally, we came up with the idea to offer him a layaway plan so he could make payments without interest and without the need for financial approval.  He could pay what he could afford each month until he paid off the cost of his furnace and installation.  Because it was well into the heating season and he wanted to start to save on his heating bills right away, the customer decided to by an “off the shelf” brand.  Unfortunately, he did not realize at the time that not only had he bought a furnace that would have no back up support, but he also did not anticipate the difficulties he would have in trying to find someone to install it.  

We talked to him this spring and learned that his new furnace is still sitting on the floor of his shop.  Not only did make large payments on the equipment throughout the winter, but he also continued to pay high fuel bills.  His parting words to us were “I should have gotten a Clean Burn.”  

Please call us today so you can get a Clean Burn!

Monday, May 5, 2014

What You Should Know About Waste Oil

Waste oil heating is our business.  As the Maryland Authorized Distributor for Clean Burn waste oil heaters, we can help you understand waste oil and what to do with it.

Waste Oil Options:  You can give it away, or you can burn it.  If you give it away, the hauler will truck it many miles to a refinery.  There they will re-refine the oil and then resell it to other shops to burn as fuel. 

Let a hauler take it away - Waste Oil disposal carries a cradle to grave liability.  This means that even if a waste oil hauler takes away your oil, you are still responsible for it in the event of an accident or spill.

Waste Oil is:  Free Fuel!  In our economy, there is no better way to save money than to burn your existing waste oil as a free heat source

Summer time is cleanup time!
Summer is the best time to have your tank cleaned out.  Waste oil contains sediment, which will settle on the bottom of your tank.  This sediment can easily become displaced by a used oil hauler, or simply by adding oil to your tank.  Floating sediment can cause trouble when you operate your heater.  Clogged filters, a clogged nozzle, or dirty electrodes are just a few problems that can arise when your tank contains sediment.  Arrange now to have your tank cleaned out, and enjoy a problem-free heating season!

Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Clean Burn = Green Burn

In a world faced with severe environmental challenges, Clean Burn just makes sense!  

First, recycling your used oil through on-site heat recovery reduces risks of spill and contamination.  Second, the use of used oils as a fuel source sharply reduces pressure on natural gas and fuel oil supplies.  Finally, Clean Burn used-oil combustion meets or exceeds every Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) requirement in helping preserve clean air.  

The EPA and corresponding agencies worldwide recognize Clean Burn equipment as a preferred method of recycling used motor oils.

Monday, March 24, 2014

Clean Burn celebrates 35th Anniversary

CONGRATULATIONS!!! Clean Burn is celebrating 35th years in the waste oil furnace business!  No other waste oil furnace company even comes close.  What started in Lancaster County, PA as a revolutionary idea – that waste oil could be recycled for heat— turned into a thriving business.  Today, Clean Burn leads the world in the manufacturing of waste oil furnaces. 

Clean Burn wrote the book on reliability, efficiency and durability.   Its heavy duty construction is designed for industrial use and it is the only waste oil furnace on the market designed from the ground up to burn waste oil.  That is why our customers tell us “Better get a Clean Burn!”   

Monday, January 6, 2014

Cold Weather Is On Its Way

COLD weather is on its way.  Please find below a couple of tips that can help keep your Clean Burn running properly during this cold snap.
  • Monitor the oil supply in your tank.  Make sure you have sufficient good oil.  With this extremely cold weather, you will use oil at a much faster rate.  Make sure there is plenty of oil in the tank to last over night.  Make sure your oil is not contaminated with antifreeze, water or sludge.  Please see the list below for approved oils.

          Crank case oil
          Transmission Fluid
          New Fuel Oil # 2, #4, and #5
          Synthetic Used oil
          Hydraulic Fluid (up to 90 Weight)
          Diesel Oil and Diesel Fuel (New or Used)
  • Make sure your air compressor is in a warm environment .   Make sure there is no water in your air compressor or the air compressor line.  Water in the air compressor could freeze and cause your air compressor not to work.  Your furnace will not operate without air coming from your air compressor.

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Before You Start Up Your Furnace

Required Steps Before You Start Up Furnace
  • ·        Make sure air compressor is on
  • ·        Make sure electric has been on at least 15 minutes
  • ·        Inspect oil for contaminents
  • ·        Measure oil in tank, must contain more than 21”
  • ·        Swing open burner, inspect CAD cell, electrodes and nozzle; clean if necessary
  • ·        Turn thermostat up to call for heat

After above is complete, you can start up your furnace